Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.005710 0.006347 0.007039 0.007847 0.008770 0.009792 0.011016
2025-06-15 0.004684 0.005554 0.006575 0.007871 0.009484 0.011444 0.014032
2025-06-22 0.004222 0.005228 0.006473 0.008144 0.010360 0.013238 0.017327
2025-06-29 0.003729 0.004770 0.006111 0.007992 0.010610 0.014195 0.019604
2025-07-06 0.003343 0.004393 0.005790 0.007825 0.010778 0.015014 0.021753
2025-07-13 0.003081 0.004148 0.005611 0.007814 0.011137 0.016116 0.024447
2025-07-20 0.002924 0.004026 0.005583 0.008005 0.011797 0.017727 0.028167
2025-07-27 0.002717 0.003815 0.005402 0.007938 0.012042 0.018701 0.030963
2025-08-03 0.002555 0.003651 0.005273 0.007934 0.012373 0.019840 0.034211
2025-08-10 0.002391 0.003471 0.005102 0.007841 0.012539 0.020708 0.037083
2025-08-17 0.002276 0.003357 0.005021 0.007883 0.012934 0.022015 0.041006
2025-08-24 0.002145 0.003208 0.004873 0.007797 0.013087 0.022893 0.044204
2025-08-31 0.001983 0.003004 0.004630 0.007541 0.012937 0.023232 0.046455
2025-09-07 0.001888 0.002902 0.004547 0.007561 0.013305 0.024646 0.051395
2025-09-14 0.001844 0.002881 0.004598 0.007822 0.014161 0.027167 0.059447
2025-09-21 0.001735 0.002743 0.004437 0.007676 0.014195 0.027961 0.063479
2025-09-28 0.001634 0.002611 0.004277 0.007518 0.014183 0.028648 0.067389
2025-10-05 0.001564 0.002528 0.004198 0.007507 0.014476 0.030063 0.073577
2025-10-12 0.001528 0.002502 0.004217 0.007689 0.015200 0.032591 0.083543
2025-10-19 0.001460 0.002414 0.004119 0.007626 0.015376 0.033828 0.090051
2025-10-26 0.001404 0.002347 0.004052 0.007621 0.015684 0.035438 0.098163
2025-11-02 0.001342 0.002263 0.003950 0.007533 0.015786 0.036534 0.104922
2025-11-09 0.001300 0.002214 0.003910 0.007573 0.016197 0.038518 0.115302